Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has converted 71.2% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Walker Kessler has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Moritz Wagner is a strong one for scoring; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 60.2% of their field goal attempts (92nd percentile).
The Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.9).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).