Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 6:18 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting Cs have put up the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%).
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are playing at home (24th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Jazz.