Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 6:56 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made 71.2% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Walker Kessler has successfully made 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder have the home court advantage (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.3).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).