Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has made 70.7% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Walker Kessler has made 100.0% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are at home (26th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (11.3).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).