Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has successfully made 70.9% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Walker Kessler has sunk 100.0% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which ought to increase plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Spurs may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against San Antonio is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Spurs are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 12th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.4).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).