Walker Kessler Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 4:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has sunk 71.0% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Walker Kessler has successfully made 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games on the road, which ought to raise plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Spurs may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a massive 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Spurs are on the road, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 12th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (0.4).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).