Walker Kessler Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Walker Kessler's playing time has jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 15 games minutes per game.
The Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Jazz will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler figures to see a rise in productivity across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has averaged 0.9 assists per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this standard.
Among all players in the league, Walker Kessler ranks in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.3 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
While on their home court, the Kings have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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