Walker Kessler Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Walker Kessler has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.