Walker Kessler Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Walker Kessler

NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Walker Kessler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has posted 0.8 assists per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this metric.
Walker Kessler has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing on the road, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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