Walker Kessler Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Walker Kessler

C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

Walker Kessler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+152/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Walker Kessler has put up 0.8 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 23rd percentile.
Walker Kessler has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Walker Kessler will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.