Victor Wembanyama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 8:43 PM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has averaged 7.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Victor Wembanyama stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.