Victor Wembanyama Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has totaled 11.0 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.8 higher than he's totaled overall this season on the road.
Victor Wembanyama has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).
Victor Wembanyama ought to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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