Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama lands in the 92nd percentile for shots taken, putting up 16.1 per game this year.
Victor Wembanyama has made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season on his home court.
Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 28.9 minutes per game this year.
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 109.6 points per game when playing at home ranks 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Nic Claxton is a difficult one for shots from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 9.3 field goals per game (11th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nets).