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Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Victor Wembanyama has totaled 24.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.

The number of 3-point shots attempted against Rudy Gobert has been remarkably high (3.0 per game) when at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.

Victor Wembanyama has sunk 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Spurs.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

The showdown with Rudy Gobert with respect to getting to the foul line comes in at the 22nd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 3.0 free throws per game this year when they are playing on the road.

Victor Wembanyama is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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