Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Victor Wembanyama has successfully made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Spurs.
The Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have shot 49.9% on field goal attempts (3rd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a favorable matchup.
The number of 3-point shots attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (1.1 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Domantas Sabonis has been quite low this year (2.7 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).
Victor Wembanyama stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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