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Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Victor Wembanyama has averaged 23.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The Spurs rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This matchup is a hard one; when the Celtics are playing at home, they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing teams this year (109.0).

The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The rate of three-pointers scored against Kristaps Porzingis has been remarkably low (20.0%) when he is on his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (4th percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Kristaps Porzingis has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 19th percentile).

Victor Wembanyama ought to suffer a reduction in output for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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