Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has successfully made 50.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a strong one for scoring; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a monstrous 61.5% of their field goals (90th percentile).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has missed 3.1 three-pointers per game away from his home court this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 80th percentile for misses on the road.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Victor Wembanyama should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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