Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 89th percentile for shots from the field, registering 15.8 per game this year.
Victor Wembanyama has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the league.
Victor Wembanyama has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Spurs check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have shot 45.4% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, marking this as a tough matchup.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Al Horford in regard to drawing fouls rates in the 14th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting only 2.9 free throws per game this year when they are playing at home.