Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 15.3 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Victor Wembanyama has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Victor Wembanyama has successfully made 25.1% of his 3-pointers when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Denver is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.2).
The San Antonio Spurs will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Without the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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