Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 16.0 shots per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 76th percentile for 3-point attempts when playing on the road, registering 5.5 per game this year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the road team this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Kings).
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, struggling to draw fouls.

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