Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama lands in the 83rd percentile, tallying a whopping 18.8 points per game when playing on the road this year.
The Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year with respect to shots made from the field.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 42.2% on 3-pointers (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a favorable matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have grabbed 14.7 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Thunder (lengthening possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).
This year, opposing squads have attempted 25.8 free throws per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.
Victor Wembanyama ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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