Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Victor Wembanyama has attempted 17.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama places in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from downtown with the home court advantage, putting up 5.3 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 29.2 minutes per game on the road this year.
In terms of scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's exceptional 49.3% field goal rate with the home court advantage comes in as the 9th-most in the NBA this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (26.9%).
The Spurs rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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