Victor Wembanyama Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Victor Wembanyama

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama measures in the 90th percentile for shots taken, totaling 14.7 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, logging 5.1 per game this year.
Victor Wembanyama has played 28.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has averaged 46.7% on shot attempts from the field (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 7th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.1).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 8thworst in in the league while playing away from home with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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