Victor Wembanyama Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

NBA · Player Props

Victor Wembanyama

F-C · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Victor Wembanyama Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama places in the 85th percentile for 3-point attempts while playing away from home, putting up 5.0 per game since the start of last season.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Raptors (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).
Victor Wembanyama should see a rise in effectiveness across the board considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.8 fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
With respect to three-pointers, the Spurs's feeble 35.2% rate of converted threes as the away team comes in as the 7th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 14th-least 3-pointers per game in the league since the start of last season (1.3).
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.