Tyrese Haliburton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Tyrese Haliburton

NBA · Player Props

Tyrese Haliburton

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 5:36 PM EST

Analysis

Tyrese Haliburton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 9.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Tyrese Haliburton has played 31.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
Tyrese Haliburton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season on his home court.

Favors Under

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Miami Heat are away from home, they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 25 games (17.9).
The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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