Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Apr 14, 2026

Updated Apr 14, 2026 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Hornets is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 8th-best in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat.
Over the last 19 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.