Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 12, 2026

Updated Apr 12, 2026 9:08 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league away from their home court this year, which should increase plays for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have posted 15.1 points per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.