Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+4900/-9900).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Favors Under
The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 10.9 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, making this a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).