Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 23, 2026

Updated Mar 23, 2026 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the league) against the Spurs, making this a favorable matchup.
The speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-quickest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 20 games (the Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) against the Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.