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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Herro has converted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
  • Tyler Herro has sunk 61.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 22.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year while on his home court.
  • Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year.
  • In terms of scoring, the Heat's terrific 114.5 points per game places 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tyler Herro has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
  • The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
  • The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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