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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/20/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has averaged 29.3 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.

Tyler Herro has tallied 35.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

In terms of shooting, the Miami Heat's remarkable 124.0 points per game when playing away from home places 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making this a strong matchup.

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro ought to see a decline in productivity for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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