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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 94th percentile, putting up a monstrous 23.1 points per game when playing at home this year.

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.5 3-pointers per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home with respect to three-point attempts.

The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to increase plays for the Miami Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (26.5%).

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Jazz, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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