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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has registered 24.3 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.

In comparison to last season's 3.2 rate, Tyler Herro's 3-pointers made have increased this season to 4.1 per game.

Tyler Herro has tallied 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the visting team this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 42.3% on threes (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Magic, designating this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the NBA).

Tyler Herro is expected to see a decline in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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