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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 33.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.2% rate of made threes on their home court ranks 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Heat.

Tyler Herro has sunk 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have shot 23.6% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) against the Raptors, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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