Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.
The matchup against the Clippers may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 11.4 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, creating a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have secured 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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