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Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 98th percentile for 3-pointers sunk, logging 3.2 per game this year.Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.2 minutes per game this year.In regard to three-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 38.7% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.The Houston Rockets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).Tyler Herro has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have notched 12.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease plays for the Miami Heat.Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
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