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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last year's 16.5 rate, Tyler Herro's field goal attempts have surged this year to 19.1 per game.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro lands in the 96th percentile for threes made when playing away from home, posting 3.1 per game this year.
  • Tyler Herro has played 33.2 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.5).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Tyler Herro will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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