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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.1 shots from the field per game this year, a big improvement over his 16.5 rate last year.

Tyler Herro has converted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 37.1% on shots from the field (13th-weakest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a tough matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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