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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 16.5 rate, Tyler Herro's shots taken have increased this season to 19.4 per game.

Tyler Herro has made 3.0 treys per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.2 minutes per game away from home this year.

With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.8% rate of successful threes measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Golden State Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shots from the field (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, making this a tough matchup.

The most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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