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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has put up a whopping 23.6 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 20.0 points per game last season.

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 39.8% rate of sunk threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).

Tyler Herro has converted 93.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.3% more than he's converted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this season.

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 15.1 points per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, making this a tough matchup for offensive output.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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