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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from downtown at home, putting up 7.4 per game since the start of last season.

Tyler Herro has played 34.0 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

In terms of shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's terrific 40.1% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (6.6).

The 10th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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