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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has successfully made 51.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% more than he's converted overall this season.

Tyler Herro has attempted 7.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Tyler Herro has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (85th percentile).

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 13th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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