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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has successfully made 53.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Tyler Herro has attempted 8.0 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.3 mark last year.

Tyler Herro has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against the Bulls is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (12th-least in the league).

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