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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has attempted 10.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 13.9% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.

Tyler Herro has tallied 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games while playing away from home (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 4th-lowest three rate in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (36.6%).

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one; they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 10 games away from their home court (17.2).

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