Tyler Herro Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2023

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Jan 18, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has attempted 10.0 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Tyler Herro has sunk 3.3 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Tyler Herro has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league this year without the home court advantage in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Pelicans have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year with the home court advantage (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one for 3-point attempts; their opposition have averaged the 7th-least three attempts per game in the league this year while at home (36.5).
The Miami Heat rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a tough one; at home they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (13.4).
Tyler Herro will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production for all stats.

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