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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has posted 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.7 more than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.

Tyler Herro has sunk 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on the road.

Tyler Herro has tallied 35.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.

Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production for all stats.

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