Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 33.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.2% rate of made threes on their home court ranks 7th-highest in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Heat.
Tyler Herro should get a boost in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have shot 23.6% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) against the Raptors, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).