Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Tyler Herro has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 39.8% rate of sunk threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (21st-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks, marking this as a good matchup.
The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this season.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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