Tyler Herro Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 7:24 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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