Tyler Herro Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Tyler Herro

NBA · Player Props

Tyler Herro

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tyler Herro has averaged 4.1 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 86th percentile.
Tyler Herro has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Tyler Herro will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (86th percentile).
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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